Macroeconomics Archives

Markets Expecting a Bank of Canada “Micro” Interest Rate Cut

The Bank of Canada is set to make its next move in the ongoing currency war with a micro cut down to 0.10% next week. This was expected by us. Central Banks are attempting to weaken their currencies to boost inflation, and in some cases, boost exports. A cheaper currency also allows all the debt, and government debt, to be paid back in cheaper currencies. We have been calling this, and why the way to play this is to be in hard assets/commodities and even cryptocurrencies.

Vishal Toora 01/13/2021 No Comments

SPACmania with Pershing(PSH.AMS), Baupost & Social Capital(IPOC-UN), TK’s market wrap up

The S&P 600 & TSX20 are down by 1.16% and 0.26% respectively US Bonds see a rush of capital inflows as investors move out ‘riskier’ assets. The Canadian 10-year

Taku Ndachena 11/18/2020 No Comments

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Kanadario(KANA.V) up 61% as the week comes to close,TK’s Market wrap up – 09/18/20

What a week we had in the markets, the ebbs and flows of the stock market can be overwhelming at times and I am here

Taku Ndachena 09/18/2020 No Comments

Yahoo Finance-Harris poll confirms that armies of newbie investors are recklessly buying options

According to the latest Yahoo-Harris poll published on Sept. 9, 2020 – an astonishing 43% of retail investors said they are “using options, margin, or both.”

Lukas Kane 09/11/2020 No Comments

Plurilock Technologies: Disrupting Biometric Cybersecurity

The new economy is digital. It’s in the trillions, so increasing digitization of the world has led to an increased risk that some parts of

Arth Gupta 08/31/2020 1 Comment

You can’t fight the Fed. But you can hedge against it. The case for crypto (Part 1/2)

When you have one hammer, everything begins to look like a nail. For the Fed, it’s “print money, cut rates”. Act First, Think Later It

Arth Gupta 08/12/2020 No Comments

GDXJ.NYSE: The U.S. dollar is dying: how to play it for profit

As America’s reputation on the world stage declines, in perfect tandem the U.S. dollar is losing its mojo

Lukas Kane 08/03/2020 No Comments

The IMF suddenly got very gloomy: what does that mean for the price of gold?

Today, The International Monetary Fund (IMF) released a statement predicting that the global economy will take a $12 trillion hit from the Covid-19 pandemic. $12

Lukas Kane 06/24/2020 No Comments

2 million new investors are buying stocks on their cellphones

Stuck at home, but armed with online trading apps, individual investors helped drive the historic comeback for stocks

Lukas Kane 05/27/2020 No Comments

Deflation is here! Is that a bad thing?

Today, the U.S. Labor Department reported a general decline in underlying prices during April, 2020 – causing financial pundits to freak out about the possibility

Lukas Kane 05/12/2020 No Comments

Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-A.NYSE): Warren Buffett is my hero but he got this detail wrong

“Nothing can basically stop America,” stated Buffett at Saturday’s virtual shareholder meeting. “The American miracle, the American magic has always prevailed and it will do so again.”

Buffett’s opinion (about the resiliency of the U.S. economy) has been right for six decades. Why wouldn’t it continue to be right?

Lukas Kane 05/04/2020 No Comments

Can ETFs Become Hedge Funds? – What Lies Ahead For Oil

After the price war on oil, futures contracts expiring on Tuesday hit the negative territory on Monday. But where’s the actual oil? Quite literally, the

Arth Gupta 04/22/2020 No Comments

Worth Less Than Nothing: What Happened, Why It Did, What It Means, and What’s Next For Oil

What happens when a global pandemic meets a price war on oil? Or, what happens when severe practical problems meet ineffective policymakers? Rather, what happens

Arth Gupta 04/21/2020 No Comments

Money rain, fighting the Fed, and precious metals

Some might be wondering, is this it for the precious metals? Gold has had a phenomenal run. It’s looking kinda expensive right now. And it’s

Greg Nolan 04/19/2020 No Comments

The ultimate Fed Put, soaring precious metals prices – not enough gold and silver coins to go around

Though the U.S. Congress has yet to agree on a bailout package, it’s working on an unprecedented spending bill to prop up a dying economy.

Greg Nolan 03/24/2020 No Comments

The market is up, but it’s all theatre: Don’t let The Fed’s buying suck you in

Trust me, there’s nothing I’d like more, as the publisher of a financial markets-focused media outlet, than to tell you all it’s time to buy

Chris Parry 03/24/2020 No Comments

Equity Guru’s Market Moment – March 18

Two weeks ago, on Equity Guru’s Discord Channel, I mentioned this break of an important level on oil and provided these two target zones. We are rapidly approaching our final target of the 21 dollar zone.

Special Contributor 03/18/2020 No Comments

Flupocalypse 2020: Assuming you stay healthy, this is your ‘get rich’ moment

When the savings and loan crisis in the US hit in 1989, a lot of slow-moving investors lost their dough thinking the worst couldn’t possible

Chris Parry 03/13/2020 2 Comments

Market Meltdown: gold & housing: “It’s not the pins – it’s the bubble”.

“It’s the financials that are really getting killed,” stated Schiff, “They have made all the loans that are not going to get repaid, so this is just like 2008, only it’s not just the banks that are going to need a bailout, it’s the hotels, it’s the airlines, it’s companies like Boeing, it’s the cruise lines.”

Lukas Kane 03/12/2020 No Comments

DJIA plummets: divorce lawyers shudder as poor sexless couples grope each other in the night

“The National Marriage Project dubbed the drop in divorce ‘a silver lining’ to the Great Recession,” stated The L.A. Times, “arguing that tough times were pulling many husbands and wives closer together.”

Lukas Kane 03/12/2020 No Comments

The Price War on Oil

In the worst week for the US stock market since the financial crisis, the S&P500 fell more than 7.5%, and a full-blown price war rattled

Arth Gupta 03/09/2020 No Comments

DJIA surges as democrats gear up to nominate a male Hilary Clinton

Investors have legitimate reason to want four more years of Trump. Ignoring the recent coronavirus-catalysed carnage, the markets have performed well during the Trump presidency.

Lukas Kane 03/04/2020 No Comments

5 Reasons your blue-chip stocks are tanking – and no – it’s not the corona virus

The recent blood-bath in blue-chip stocks was catalysed by the spread of the coronavirus, but there are 5 underlying causes that have made it so dramatic and ugly.

Lukas Kane 02/28/2020 No Comments

Stocks tank, gold surges – my locked-down communist wife tells a grim COVID19 virus story

“While the comparison to SARS may provide some guidance, important changes have been experienced in China and the Chinese gold market since the 2003 outbreak,” stated the WGC.

Lukas Kane 02/24/2020 No Comments

Powell: “Nothing about this expansion that is unstable”

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said that the Fed is keeping a close eye on the possible fallout and impact of the coronavirus outbreak in China. Powell hasn’t made any claims yet as to what this means either in terms of possible liquidity injections or a rate cut. Let’s examine that.

Arth Gupta 02/12/2020 No Comments

Germany’s corporate codetermination – cunningly co-committed or cataclysmically codependent?

Elizabeth Warren’s Accountable Capitalism Act (ACA) threatens to level the corporate playing field in America by bringing labor into the boardroom. Understandably, industrial lobbyists have

Gaalen Engen 02/03/2020 No Comments

The story of Amazon’s trillion dollar empire

Amazon (AMZN.NASDAQ) reported earnings yesterday, beating market expectations by a wide margin and pushing itself into the four comma club – one trillion dollars in market cap. Let’s see how they got there.

Arth Gupta 01/31/2020 No Comments

Cannabis M&A Gone Wrong or Ponzi Scheme in Disguise? You Decide

The article below appeared first in our daily markets newsletter. Subscribe here. Coronavirus Fears We spoke on Friday about the spread of coronavirus and its

Arth Gupta 01/27/2020 No Comments

Netflix Beats Revenue, But Long Term Questions Still Remain

Streaming Wars Get Intense The next two weeks mark an important timeframe as major US firms release their quarterly earnings. Netflix reported earnings after market

Arth Gupta 01/21/2020 No Comments

Pepsi, Nestle and Amazon: asymmetric risk and monopoly control

Two hundred years after the Sherman Anti-trust Act brought about the fall of Rockefeller’s monopoly control, Bernie Saunders and Elizabeth Warren pushed for America to

Gaalen Engen 01/10/2020 No Comments

$100k/yr at Taco Bell in a Strong US Labor Market

#Networking and Insider Trading: DON’T DO IT There’s a scene in the popular movie, Margin Call, where John’s character highlights the three ways to succeed

Arth Gupta 01/09/2020 No Comments

Markets and the Middle East: A look at Gold, Oil, and Student Debt

BREAKING: Boeing 737 Jet Crashes in Iran due to technical issues after takeoff. Source (ISNA) Oil Stuff & The Middle East At least two airbases

Arth Gupta 01/07/2020 No Comments

Explaining the violent explosion of Canadians who can not pay their bills

A high bankruptcy rate may intuitively seem like a bad thing, but straight-faced “financial experts” argue that bankruptcies are a proxy for imaginative risk-taking – and therefore a good thing.

Lukas Kane 01/03/2020 No Comments

Friday Recap: Don’t Price in WW3, Fed Minutes, and Tesla “Deliveries”

Fed Minutes The Federal Reserve released its minutes for the December meeting, and here are the key takeaways: Growth fears: despite the decade long bull

Arth Gupta 01/03/2020 No Comments

Tuesday Recap: Italy’s New Digital Tax and Kalanick’s Exit

Travis Kalanick’s Exit Uber Inc.’s former CEO Travis Kalanick is not only stepping down from the board but has also offloaded his entire stake at

Arth Gupta 12/24/2019 No Comments

Monday Recap: It’s $420 for Tesla

Bye Bye Boeing CEO I mean, for better or for worse, the CEO had this one coming. Boeing’s growing list of worries regarding the 737

Arth Gupta 12/23/2019 No Comments

Icahn’s noxious no-brainers and America’s share buyback binge: Is value extraction a sham?

Icahn’s traveling roadshow is only marginally better than the criminal activities of Bain Capital. These vicious business vultures swoop in, gain control of the shares, get the company to load up on back-breaking debt to commence a share buyback scheme which they sell into and walk away from long before the company’s books explode all over the retail bag holders.

Gaalen Engen 12/19/2019 No Comments

Monday Recap: Breakups are Hard

2 fatal plane crashes and 346 lives. That’s what it took for Boeing to admit that things weren’t going so well after all. The firm announced on Monday that it would suspend production of its 737 Max Jetliner. The firm will halt production in January.

Arth Gupta 12/16/2019 No Comments

The U.S. Fed and market liquidity or welcome to the everything bubble

A translation of this article is available in Chinese at our partner website, NAI500 here. Before I get into the U.S. Fed and its market

Gaalen Engen 12/13/2019 No Comments

Thursday Recap: Buy the Rumour, Sell the News

There we go. It’s here. President Donald Trump agreed to a phase-one trade deal with China, averting the Dec 15 introduction of new tariffs on $160 billion worth of Chinese goods.

Arth Gupta 12/12/2019 No Comments

Wednesday Recap: Going Steady

The Fed left interest rates unchanged on Wednesday, and chairman Powell reinstated his belief that the labour market can improve further despite unemployment being at a half-century low. “Even though we’re at 3.5% unemployment, there’s actually more slack out there,” Powell said. “And the risks of using an accommodative monetary policy’’ to boost the labour market are “relatively low.’’

Arth Gupta 12/11/2019 No Comments

Tuesday Recap: Trade Talks, NAFTA, and Chevron

Trade Talks

So here’s the thing: I think we’re in a classic game of Russian roulette. At this point in trade talks its really a matter of time before China and US finally admit to each other that they would rather engage in what is clearly a patter of self-destructive behaviour than come to a mutual agreement about any deal that might be on the table.

Arth Gupta 12/10/2019 No Comments

Friday Recap: Job Reports for US and Canada

Jobs Are Here: US

Economic data about job gains was released this morning, and unemployment matched half-century lows. Markets chased fresh highs, reaffirming that the Fed’s decision to hold rates was a reasonable one.

Arth Gupta 12/06/2019 No Comments

Thursday Recap: No Rate Cut for India & Aramco’s IPO

Aramco IPO is here

The oil-producing giant has priced its initial public offering at the high end of the target range to give it a total valuation of $1.7 trillion.

3 billion shares will be sold, which means investors will have the opportunity to buy a grand total of – wait for it – 1.5% stake of the company. On the Saudi Exchange, the high of the valuation target is 32 Saudi Riyals, ($8.53), a total offering of $25.6 billion.

Arth Gupta 12/05/2019 No Comments

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